Show projection assuming Social Security reduction
Forecast Assuming Social Security Benefits Are Not Reduced in 2033
Social Security Trust Fund: What the Government Has Reported
According to the Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of the Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) Trust Fund, the program's financial reserves are projected to become depleted in 2033. Under current law, Social Security is a pay-as-you-go system; if the trust fund reserves are exhausted, the program cannot pay out more in benefits than it collects through ongoing payroll taxes. The Social Security Administration estimates that upon depletion, continuing tax revenues will be sufficient to pay approximately 77% of the scheduled benefits, resulting in an automatic, across-the-board reduction of roughly 23% for all beneficiaries.
It is important to recognize that this represents a legislative possibility based on current statutes, rather than a certainty, as Congress has historical precedent for intervening to restore solvency before depletion occurs. Use the Yes/No toggle on this page to model the potential impact on your personal financial plan if Social Security benefits are reduced.
Source: Social Security Administration, Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of the Federal OASI and DI Trust Funds. The 2033 depletion date and 77% pay-out figure reflect the most recent Trustees' Report projections.
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in your asset accounts when you reach the age of —.
Monthly Income Summary
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Finding your optimal withdrawal strategy
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Portfolio Draw (Gross Pre-Tax)—
+ Fixed Income—
= Total Gross Monthly Income—
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Asset Trajectory
Preview estimate — SS COLA and bucket sequencing are approximated here. Verified numbers with full tax and COLA modeling appear in Step 11: Final Summary Report.
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Balance Path Verification
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Age
Portfolio Balance
Monthly Withdrawal
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